I had another pretty solid session last night, playing just under 4k hands for +3BI in winnings. Here the EV graph:
The hand which inspired the post title is below. The villain in the hand is a 15/13/4 reg who doesn't suck. He probably views me as a 13/10 TAG who is solid but perhaps a little nitty. I meant to 3-bet preflop but misclicked, and for some reason really didn't feel like check/folding the flop. After he check/called the turn bet, his range became skewed significantly towards AQ, KK, and AA (with some KQ and JJ mixed in as well). These hands all definitely can find a fold to a strong river bet.
Poker Stars, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
CO: $191.20 (95.6 bb)
BTN: $242.90 (121.5 bb)
SB: $262.30 (131.2 bb)
BB: $200 (100 bb)
UTG: $148 (74 bb)
UTG+1: $227.80 (113.9 bb)
MP1: $69.20 (34.6 bb)
MP2: $142.80 (71.4 bb)
Hero (MP3): $218.95 (109.5 bb)
Pre-Flop: Hero is MP3 with Kd Ad
UTG folds, UTG+1 raises to $8, 2 folds, Hero calls $8, 4 folds
Flop: ($19) 6h Qd 3s (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $14, Hero calls $14
Turn: ($47) 2h (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $33, UTG+1 calls $33
River: ($113) 4d (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $90, UTG+1 folds
Results: $113 pot ($3 rake)
Hero mucked Kd Ad (high card Ace) and won $110 ($55 net)
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