Friday, April 24, 2009

Positive Life Variance, Negative Poker Variance






-- Status Update --
2009 VPPs:  368,559
SNE Pace:  58,939 AHEAD
Currently Playing:  TBA


I woke up on Thursday to an email congratulating me on winning the draw to purchase tickets to Game 6 of the Flames/Blackhawks series on Monday. The remaining tickets were very much polarized in quality however; My options were to either sit in the nosebleeds for cheap, or pay out my ass for some of the very best seats in the Dome. Naturally, I chose the latter. I'll be sitting in the first row of the second deck (this row and only this row is considered "gold" level seating, and in the same price level as club seating in the lower bowl), in the attack zone right behind the goal. Hopefully the Flames manage to win Game 5 and can close out the series in 6.

Poker on the day was brutal. I played a ton of hands for a Thursday, and played very very well. However, I ended up $750 down in all-in EV. Here's the utterly disgusting graph:

If you had 2 outs against me on the flop today, you were a 9:1 favorite instead of a 9:1 underdog. Riggedity.

Other than that, it looks like the WSOP Main Event is going to be a go, and I might have a prop bet against another 100nl reg going in May for total money taken off the tables. I'm very certain I am +EV in such a bet, though he is a solid player.

3 comments:

Bold Bet said...

This is my first time reading your blog. Very interesting. keep it up.

Bold Bet said...

oh by the way, how do you get rakeback from PokerStars?

Ronfar3 said...

You purchase cash bonuses with your FPPs.