Sunday, May 31, 2009

May Review - Timing Is Everything

May was a funny month. I earned a reasonable amount, and ran pretty well for the first half. During the last week and a half however, I underwent some of the most soul crushing variance I've had to withstand this year. Doomswitched to the utter max. 20 BI below AIEV the last 4 sessions alone. Because the run bad is much more fresh in my mind than the run decent, it feels like May was a disappointment.

On the positive side, I purchased my package for the WSOP ME this month, and I'm looking forward to both my first Vegas foray as well as my first major tournament experience. Might as well start with the biggest Poker event in existence, am I right?

Here is how the bottom line breaks down for the month:

$10061.20 winnings
+$5267.86 FPP value rakeback (94069 VPPs)
+$3200 milestone bonus ($4000 - $800 FPP value)
+$414.83 staking profit (thanks Will)
---------------------------------------
$18,943.89 USD total profit. At the current incredibly lame exchange rate, this equates to ~$20,670 CDN. Amazing how the Canadian Dollar has strengthened throughout the last 6 months. At least I'm picking a good time to go to Vegas and buy into the WSOP ME!

Oh yeah, the $18.9k USD total is a new personal best, though due to the exchange rate I have actually earned more CDN$ in a month before, but that's not a fair comparison. So yay me, another new record!

In June, I want to make a conscious effort to push more small edges in position. Stealing more is the biggest thing, along with isolating loose/weak fish that play fit or fold with less than my normal opening range. I used to do these things a lot better than I have lately, and though doing so will require a higher level of focus from me, I'm sure it's nothing an increase in caffeine consumption won't fix.

On that note, I'm a week or so away from hitting the first milestone bonus I didn't reach last year ($4200, sweet) which happens to come at the half way point to SNE. Sort of scary to think I'm so close to half way towards my goal, and with the 100k for playing the WSOP ME, it really isn't seeming like a daunting task anymore. That said, things never go well when you underestimate the effort required to achieve a goal, so I'll try hard not to let up.

Saturday, May 16, 2009

Best Day Ever?






-- Status Update --
2009 VPPs:  435,188
SNE Pace:  65,228 AHEAD
Currently Playing:  Chrono Trigger DS (NDS)


On Friday I believe I won more than I ever have in a single day, $1716 USD (+~$200 rakeback). I think my previous best was in the $1500-$1600 area. It would be interesting to compare my winrate during prime time on Fridays/Saturdays to the rest of the week - I would imagine it is at least doubled during those times. Here's a graph of Friday the 15th:


I'm going to post three hands from my Friday sessions. The first two present actual interesting decisions, and the third is just for comic relief. My commentary will be in red.

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
UTG+1: $18 (18 bb)
Hero (MP1): $258.05 (258.1 bb)
MP2: $21.40 (21.4 bb)
MP3: $17 (17 bb)
CO: $47.55 (47.6 bb)
BTN: $26 (26 bb)
SB: $168.15 (168.2 bb)
BB: $100 (100 bb)
UTG: $220.90 (220.9 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is MP1 with As Kd
UTG raises to $4, UTG+1 folds, Hero calls $4, 3 folds, BTN raises to $12, 2 folds, UTG raises to $25, Hero raises to $53, BTN calls $14 and is all-in, UTG calls $28

What is so interesting about this hand is that I'm 220BB deep with a decent 19/15 reg who raises UTG. His UTG raise is fairly wide, but due to the super deep stacks I really don't feel like 3-betting. After I called, I noticed the BTN was running 100/80 with a 100% 3b over something like 10 hands. Basically, this guy is putting his money in the pot. UTG is then going to try to reisolate the donkey with a wide range, and I 5-bet, hoping UTG will fold. Unfortunately, he doesn't. Luckily, we're so deep he basically has to play his hand face up, and his flat call means he doesn't have AA (which he would 6-bet), but likely is not weaker than QQ.

Flop: ($133.50) 7c Ac 4s (3 players, 1 is all-in)
UTG checks, Hero bets $67.50, UTG folds

I flop an ace, and since AA definitely 6-bets preflop with such deep stacks, my hand is basically the nuts. Villain's range I perceive to be {QQ-KK} here. I just want to pick up the dead money since I'm not getting any value unless he 2 outs me. If villain shoves I'm hating life and calling, expecting to chop most of the time.

Turn: ($133.50) 6s (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: ($133.50) 8c (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results: $133.50 pot ($3 rake)
Hero showed As Kd (a pair of Aces) and won $130.50 ($77.50 net)
BTN mucked 9d 3d (high card Ace) and lost (-$26 net)


Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 7 Players
Hero (BB): $105.20 (105.2 bb)
MP1: $100.95 (101 bb)
MP2: $97.45 (97.5 bb)
MP3: $101.50 (101.5 bb)
CO: $11.40 (11.4 bb)
BTN: $74.10 (74.1 bb)
SB: $211.20 (211.2 bb)

In this hand, villain is a 21/5 fish who does NOT like to fold. Preflop, Flop, and Turn are all standard.

Pre-Flop: Hero is BB with Qs Qd
MP1 folds, MP2 calls $1, 4 folds, Hero raises to $5, MP2 calls $4

Flop: ($10.50) 9s 9c 4c (2 players)
Hero bets $7.50, MP2 calls $7.50

Turn: ($25.50) Jh (2 players)
Hero bets $13, MP2 calls $13

River: ($51.50) 8h (2 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $71.95 and is all-in, Hero calls $71.95

On the river, I check to induce a bluff from a busted flush draw. Unfortunately, villain spaz overshoves and I hate life. However, his line doesn't make a lot of sense. If he had 9x, he surely would have raised somewhere given the dangerous board texture. JJ is possible, but likely would have raised the turn. 88 is certainly possible and the most likely hand villain will show up with if we're beat. However, my plan was to check to induce a bluff from a busted flush draw, so I time down, close my eyes, and click call. In hindsight, it would have really sucked if villain had showed up with a terribly played AA/KK.

Results: $195.40 pot ($3 rake)
MP2 showed Qc 7c (a pair of Nines) and lost (-$97.45 net)
Hero showed Qs Qd (two pairs, Queens and Nines) and won $192.40 ($94.95 net)


Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
BB: $100 (100 bb)
UTG+1: $100 (100 bb)
MP1: $71.45 (71.5 bb)
MP2: $188.80 (188.8 bb)
MP3: $100 (100 bb)
CO: $123.75 (123.8 bb)
BTN: $100 (100 bb)
Hero (SB): $100 (100 bb)

A funny hand for your viewing pleasure. After recovering from the shock of villain's holding at showdown (he was 100/0 over 2 hands when this occurred) I determined that one of the following three things must be true:
(a)Villain was letting his 3 year old child play.
(b)Villain was actually trying to give money away.
(c)Villain thought we were playing a variation of Texas Hold'em where you can make an 8-low (which to my knowledge, doesn't exist).

Seriously, wtf? Villain calls off his stack with the NUT LOW.


Pre-Flop: Hero is SB with Kc Ks
2 folds, MP2 calls $1, MP3 folds, CO calls $1, BTN raises to $6, Hero raises to $18, BB folds, MP2 calls $17, 2 folds

Flop: ($44) 8d 6c Tc (2 players)
Hero bets $33.50, MP2 calls $33.50

Turn: ($111) 8h (2 players)
Hero bets $48.50 and is all-in, MP2 calls $48.50

River: ($208) 5d (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results: $208 pot ($3 rake)
Hero showed Kc Ks (two pairs, Kings and Eights) and won $205 ($105 net)
MP2 mucked 2c 3h (a pair of Eights) and lost (-$100 net)


Moving outside of poker, I'm enjoying my way through Chrono Trigger DS. It is a truly amazing game, but that is not news to me as I've played through it 5+ times on the SNES. It's been at the very least six or more years since my last playthrough though, so nostalgia value is high.

There are several games on the horizon I'm looking forward to, including Cross Edge for the PS3, Crimson Gem Saga for the PSP, and another very awesome offering which I can't mention as I am picking it up as a surprise gift for someone who reads this blog. It should be a fun next few weeks.

Thursday, May 14, 2009

Go Boy, You're Free Now!






-- Status Update --
2009 VPPs:  428,500
SNE Pace:  64,080 AHEAD
Currently Playing:  Chrono Trigger DS (NDS)


Today my student and stakee bought his freedom as he has won enough cash to have a 50NL roll of his own. I'm proud of his success, and picked up $414.83 USD in staking profits for my trouble. On that note, I don't think I'll ever be able to invest in the stock market because even an exceptional ROI there is painfully insignificant relative to the poker endeavors I'm used to.

Unfortunately I finally succumbed to the cold I had been valiantly fighting off the past week, and because of the nastiness my volume dipped between Sunday and Tuesday. I definitely am also feeling a little burned out - it's just tough not taking days off. On the plus side, I'm getting ever closer to the 50% mark and the bonus 100k VPPs (10% of SNE) I'll receive for playing the WSOP ME will be awesome. I've already purchased the ME Package from PokerStars, now all I have to do is withdraw the cash and buy myself into the tourney (as Stars cannot buy players in directly). Included in the package is a suite at the Palms from the 2nd through the 10th of July.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

Thank Goodness For 200NL






-- Status Update --
2009 VPPs:  419,833
SNE Pace:  66,373 AHEAD
Currently Playing:  Mario Power Tennis (Wii)

This just in, weekends are still awesome. I had a solid Friday followed by a very good Saturday. The strange thing about Saturday though, is that $1050 of my ~$1250 profit came from the 200NL games, which only accounted for 10% of my hands. Running at ~35ptBB/100 will do that.

Here's a graph of Friday + Saturday, along with a couple gem hands at 200NL. Weekend donks are awesome.


Poker Stars, $1/$2 PL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
MP2: $89.45 (44.7 bb)
MP3: $195 (97.5 bb)
CO: $116.95 (58.5 bb)
BTN: $199.75 (99.9 bb)
SB: $237.65 (118.8 bb)
BB: $49 (24.5 bb)
Hero (UTG+1): $221.70 (110.9 bb)
MP1: $203 (101.5 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is UTG+1 with Ah As
Hero raises to $7, 4 folds, BTN calls $7, 2 folds

Flop: ($17) 7d 7h Td (2 players)
Hero bets $14, BTN calls $14

Turn: ($45) 2d (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($45) Ac (2 players)
Hero bets $42, BTN raises to $84, Hero raises to $200.70 and is all-in, BTN calls $94.75 and is all-in

Results: $402.50 pot ($3 rake)
Hero showed Ah As (a full house, Aces full of Sevens) and won $399.50 ($199.75 net)
BTN mucked Qh Kh (a pair of Sevens) and lost (-$199.75 net)

KQ high. Really? Maybe he thought that 5 red cards = flush?

Another fun one:
Poker Stars, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
CO: $197 (98.5 bb)
BTN: $120 (60 bb)
SB: $283.30 (141.7 bb)
BB: $200 (100 bb)
UTG+1: $200 (100 bb)
MP1: $291.10 (145.6 bb)
Hero (MP2): $223.40 (111.7 bb)
MP3: $200 (100 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is MP2 with As Ah
UTG+1 raises to $5.75, MP1 folds, Hero raises to $25, 3 folds, SB calls $24, 2 folds

Flop: ($57.75) 8h 9d 4s (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $54, SB raises to $118, Hero raises to $198.40 and is all-in, SB calls $80.40

Turn: ($454.55) 6s (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: ($454.55) 3h (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results: $454.55 pot ($3.00 rake)
SB showed Kh Ad (high card Ace) and lost (-$223.40 net)
Hero showed As Ah (a pair of Aces) and won $451.55 ($228.15 net)

How about one more:
Poker Stars, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
MP1: $76 (38 bb)
MP2: $200 (100 bb)
MP3: $321.60 (160.8 bb)
CO: $66.80 (33.4 bb)
Hero (BTN): $200 (100 bb)
SB: $200 (100 bb)
BB: $221 (110.5 bb)
UTG+1: $70 (35 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is BTN with Ad Ah
3 folds, MP3 calls $2, CO calls $2, Hero raises to $14, 2 folds, MP3 calls $12, CO calls $12

Flop: ($45) 2c 4d Qh (3 players)
MP3 checks, CO checks, Hero bets $42, MP3 raises to $120, CO folds, Hero raises to $186 and is all-in, MP3 calls $66

Turn: ($417) 7s (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: ($417) Jd (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results: $417 pot ($3 rake)
MP3 showed Qd Tc (a pair of Queens) and lost (-$200 net)
Hero showed Ad Ah (a pair of Aces) and won $414 ($214 net)

Top pair must be the nuts. AA was really good to me today.

Wednesday, May 6, 2009

Milestone #3






-- Status Update --
2009 VPPs:  405,038
SNE Pace:  62,538 AHEAD
Currently Playing:  Mario Power Tennis (Wii)


The month is off to a decent start. I've taken so many terrible beats it feels like I'm running awful, but a 2.9ptBB/100 winrate over the first 48.5k hands of the month suggests otherwise. The one thing I can be sure about is that I've put in good volume over the last 5 days. I've also made a gentle push to steal a little more often and open suited connectors from MP2/HJ when appropriate, but these are minor adjustments at best.

If you're paying attention to the update at the top, you noticed I cracked the 400k VPP mark, which means I'm over 40% to SNE and received another milestone bonus! This time it's a free $3200, always appreciated.

My roommate picked up Mario Power Tennis for the Wii, which is basically just a port of the Gamecube version (which I'm pretty sure I own, sad that I can't remember) but with Wii controls. Should make for some good competitive fun.

Friday, May 1, 2009

April Review - Slacking Off

I haven't decided yet how I feel about April. I ran decently for much of the month, but abhorrently for the final week. The Flames went busto in six games against Chicago, and the NHL officiating crew once again demonstrated they are by far the worst out of all major professional sports. Partially due to the NHL playoffs and partially due to some minor burnout, I played significantly less hands than I intended to on the month. That said, I still played enough to be further ahead of SNE pace than I was when the month started.

Here are my NLHE winnings for the month:


The bottom line:
$10030.95 NLHE winnings
+$9.60 PLO winnings (I was 6 tabling $25PLO 6max for kicks for an hour)
+$5051.03 rakeback (from 90,197 VPPs)
+$2200.00 milestone bonus ($3k - $800 FPP value)
+$120 WSOP deposit bonus (free money, yay)
+$90 freerollaments (could of gone deep if AK > AQ one time)
---------------------------
$17501.58 USD total profit. This is technically a new personal best month, inching out March by around $35 (lol). At the current exchange rate, this amounts to ~$20897.40 CDN. Lousy Canadian dollar keeps getting more valuable.

In May I want to suck it up and put in a full 100k VPPs. Given that there are five full weekends and 31 days total, this shouldn't be terribly difficult. If all goes according to plan I could be ~75% to SNE by the end of July, after I receive the 100k credit for playing the WSOP ME.