I Want To Play That Game

I want to be playing the game every other reg (perhaps Coordi and GrandMelon excluded) is playing. The game where when you stack off the stone cold nuts against a fish with a back door draw, you're not a massive underdog.

Unfortunately, I instead get to play the game where I have to consider how often a fish is drawing dead when I flop the nuts. If I have QQ on Q92r, I have to think about how often he's stacking off his Q3o, A7o, etc. and is drawing dead, vs how often he is stacking T9, A8, or god forbid JT and I'm a huge dog and should c/f. I understand that poker doesn't owe me anything, and I also understand variance and the math behind both variance and equity calculations very well.

Today, I had what was my best day of the month. I was 650bbs below AIEV. If I'm out less than a single buy in of AIEV for every thousand hands I play, I'm running super hot. The real positive is that I pulled a miracle fade of runner runner for a full stack at 600nl, which actually ended up being my largest net profit pot ever, by a $8.80 margin. I had actually stacked the same villain at a 50bb 600nl table about a half hour before when he had around ~$270 behind. So in total I took him for just under $900.

Two graphs to illustrate what running hot is like for me and then the two HHs. Both graphs are from Friday, one measured in big blinds and the other in USD:



PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $6.00 BB (5 handed)
UTG ($586.40)
MP ($655)
Button ($686.05)
Hero (SB) ($603)
BB ($240)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 2, 2
UTG bets $18, 1 fold, Button calls $18, Hero calls $15, 1 fold

Flop: ($60) 10, 2, K (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $24, 1 fold, Hero raises to $78, UTG raises to $558, Hero raises to $585 (All-In), UTG calls $10.40 (All-In)

Turn: ($1196.80) 5 (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: ($1196.80) 8 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $1196.80 | Rake: $2

Results:
Hero had 2, 2 (three of a kind, twos).
UTG had J, K (one pair, Kings).
Outcome: Hero won $1194.80

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $6.00 BB (5 handed)
UTG ($779.60)
MP ($118.50)
Button ($271.25)
Hero (SB) ($300)
BB ($300)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 7, 7
2 folds, Button bets $18, Hero calls $15, 1 fold

Flop: ($42) 7, K, 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $24, Hero calls $24

Turn: ($90) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, Button bets $42, Hero raises to $258 (All-In), Button calls $187.25 (All-In)

River: ($548.50) J (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: $548.50 | Rake: $2

Results:
Button had 10, 8 (high card, King).
Hero had 7, 7 (three of a kind, sevens).
Outcome: Hero won $546.50