Sunday, March 30, 2008

March Review

So we've come to the end of March, and it's time to see if I've met the goals I set for myself at the beginning of the month.

Here are my PT summary stats for the month of March:


Below is a breakdown of my position stats. One of the leaks I need to address going foward is that my VPIP in the small blind needs to go down, while my VPIP in the CO and Hijack (POS 1 and 2 respectively) should probably go up. I'd like to see myself have a VPIP of around 12-13 in the small blind in the future.


Here is the state of my bankroll as of the end of March:


As you can see, I've got around ~$150 worth of FPPs on top of my current roll, which leaves me with around 35 buyins for $50 NL, which I consider to be more than adequately rolled.

Next, lets take a look at my luck graph and general EV graph for the month. It's been brought to my attention from reading 2+2 lately that the general graph displaying Sklansky bucks, Showdown Winnings, and Actual Winnings can be a little misleading, because it only considers hands that go to showdown. What this typically causes, is that someone running close to average will appear to run mildly hot. This is because hands in which the hero completes his draw generally go to showdown, while those where he misses his draw generally do not, espcially at lower stakes. Thus, the graph considers lots of hands where the hero wins the pot with only partial equity, while the pots where the hero folds despite having had partial equity on previous streets are not considered. At any rate, here are the general/luck graphs:




As you can see from the first graph, I ran mildly hot. Due to the factors listed above, this likely puts me somewhere between running average and slightly above average. The luck graph shows that my all-in luck was good to the tune of +$133 (this is pure luck, huzzah). Thus, my all-in equity adjusted profit for the month is $835.98, putting me at a 4.1 BB/100 winrate when you consider my good all-in luck.

So, lets now see how my actual results stack up versus my goals for the month:
(1) Play 35,000+ hands.
I exceeded this, playing over 41k hands. However, this was helped by a strong start, and having four Wednesdays off during the month that will not be the case going foward. Thus, in future months reaching the 35,000 mark will be a significant challenge.

(2) Have a 3 ptBB/100 actual winrate or higher (this will somewhat be determined by variance).
It seems I ran mildly good, and posted a winrate of 4.70 BB/100. I significantly exceeded this goal.

(3) Earn over 4,000 VPPs and become a Gold Star.
Though it's not shown in the account summary, I accumulated over 5,000 VPPs and became a Gold Star. Mission accomplished.

(4) Increase the bankroll to $1400 so I can move up to $50 NL.
Bankroll increased to $1638 cash, with ~$150 in FPPs. Consider this goal crushed.

I'll likely post my April goals on Monday once I've had a little more time to think about what I want to achieve. I will definitely be moving up to $50 NL to start the month, and I'm excited to be where I am. As long as I can stay vigilant and not get burned out on poker, I'm pretty confident I can have a $10k roll by the end of the year!

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