Sunday, March 16, 2008

Post-Review 550 hand heater

I wasn't intending on playing anymore after my Weekend Review blog post, but due to the water being off in my apartment (hopefully it's back soon...) I played a quick 550 hands late Sunday night.

It seems all I had to do was really bitch about how I was running, because I ran really good! Although my actual showdown winnings were only marginally above my Skansky bucks, I had no memorable cooler hands and three significant heaters where I was given full 100BB stacks or more. Those hands are below (and nope, still no spot with my AA versus KK preflop).

Heater Hand 1: I have AA, flop top set against bottom set. Just a cooler hand for the villian.

Heater Hand 2: I have AA, flop top set against AK making TPTK. Surprised the mediocre TAG villian couldn't find the fold button on this one.

Heater Hand 3: Flopped a set of 7s versus villian's AA. Tough spot for the villian, I doubt I would have folded here either.

Below is the graph of the 550 hands:


There's one hand I'd like to discuss from this session. I ended up winning a sizable pot, but I really had to think about the shove on the flop and wasn't sure I was making the right decision at the time. Here's the hand history:

Villians:
I didn't have any stats on Treewoman.
Dinolater is a 48/13/1 donk.

NL Texas Hold'em (0.10/0.25)

Game #16037279434, Table "Felicia V" (9 Handed Max.)
--------------------

Seat #2 is the button
 
Seat 1:  stagflation  ($14.65 in chips)
Seat 2:  mouratix  ($36.95 in chips)
Seat 3:  Ronfar3  ($24.75 in chips)
Seat 4:  Oasis88  ($27.45 in chips)
Seat 5:  DINOLATER  ($50.50 in chips)
Seat 6:  Feuchte15  ($34.40 in chips)
Seat 7:  TreeWoman  ($12.95 in chips)
Seat 8:  Tauraba  ($9.10 in chips)
Seat 9:  hongzhong  ($4.90 in chips)

Ronfar3 posts the small blind $0.10
Oasis88 posts the big blind $0.25

Preflop:
 
Ronfar3 has been dealt  [Ad Td]

DINOLATER raises $0.50 to $0.75
Feuchte15 folds
TreeWoman calls $0.75
Tauraba folds
hongzhong folds
stagflation folds
mouratix folds
Ronfar3 calls $0.65
Oasis88 folds


The Flop: [5s 7d 9d]
 
Ronfar3 checks
DINOLATER bets $1.25
TreeWoman raises $1.25 to $2.50
Ronfar3 calls $2.50
DINOLATER raises $5.25 to $7.75
TreeWoman: raises $4.45 to $12.20 and is *ALL-IN*
Ronfar3: raises $11.80 to $24 and is *ALL-IN*
DINOLATER folds


The Turn: [5s 7d 9d | 6h]
 

The River: [5s 7d 9d 6h | 8d]
 

The Showdown:
 
Ronfar3 shows Ad Td

TreeWoman mucks hand


Ronfar3 won $32.95 from pot


Hand Summary:
 
The Final Board: [5s 7d 9d 6h 8d]


Ronfar3 (small blind) showed Ad Td and won $32.95 with a flush, Ace high

TreeWoman mucked Ac 7c


So, after Treewoman's flop shove, there is $18.20 in the pot, and it is $9.70 to me to call. I'm getting roughly 2:1 on my money. Thus, I'd need 33% equity to make that call. However, we still have Dinolater acting behind us, and he has shown strength by reraising the initial flop bet. The advantage to shoving rather than calling, aside from avoiding a nasty spot on the turn after a non-diamond, is the fold equity gained against Dinolater. Him calling the shove is also not terrible, as we are drawing to the nut flush, and thus our outs are not tainted. Lets take a look at our equity versus standard ranges for the two villians on the flop:

Treewoman: 28.467% 77-JJ, 55, ATs-A9s, A7s, K9s+, K7s, QTs+, JTs, A9o, A7o, K9o, K7o
Dinolater: 30.411% 99+, 77, 55, AQs+, JTs, AJo+, JTo
Ronfar3 (Hero): 41.122% AdTd

Considering the wide ranges of both villians, I had more than enough equity for the shove to be +EV. Even moreso, the fold equity gained versus Dinolater would boost my equity in the pot up to ~50% in the cases he folds, making it even better expected value. Thus, I played it right (and hit the diamond for good measure)!

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