Wednesday, October 1, 2008

October Goals

Before I get started with my goals for the month, one thing I like to do every so often for kicks is google my Stars screen name. While the bulk of the results are HHs where I fold preflop, today I found a 4 page long thread on french poker forum about this hand.

Aside from the epicness of the hand in general, I never really thought much about the river. It's AAAA versus a Royal Flush, of course the money is going in right? However, if you think about my range on the river, it is basically only bluffs + royals. I can't have AK, and I obviously only flat call river with KK. That said, a bluff makes a lot more sense than a royal there, so I really don't think he can fold the quads, lol.

On to my goals:

(1) Start a new Pokertracker DB
I will be importing my 150k hands from last month into this DB. The purpose of the new database is to both increase performance and keep my HUD stats more relevant. Currently against some players I have many thousands of hands from 50NL and sometimes even 25NL, when they were much worse and way nittier than they are currently. Thus, using the last month as a reference point should increase my ability to make accurate reads based on stats.

(2) Play 150k hands
I marginally failed this goal last month, and it seems like a good aggressive number to shoot for while avoiding burnout.

(3) Play 12.5/10 ATS27 at the very nittiest
Less aggressive than last month, but I really think I'm playing better when I open more hands from LP. I stacked a donkey with 60BB last month when I was stealing with K8, so it must be good!

(4) Play 20,000+ hands at 200NL
I need to start breaking into 200NL, but I always seem to find reasons to avoid those tables. Baby steps.

I think the thing I need to be worried about the most with respect to poker currently is complacency. I could go forward grinding out ~10k a month right now np, but I don't think that will be terribly fun. Instead, I need to keep pushing myself forward, despite the additional risk. I need to keep getting better and improving my game. Playing more 200NL will help.

When I started grinding seriously 6-8 tabling 25NL, I wanted to one day be megatabling 100NL-200NL, and to be able to make significant money doing so. I'm there right now. I don't think I ever really thought that to be playing midstakes+ was a good realistic goal, though maybe it should have been. It would be great to be Keli 2.0, playing 24 tables of 2/4, 3/6 and 5/10 and making $50k+/month. I might not have the skill ceiling to get there, but I don't know that yet. If I keep trying to get better and play higher, at the least I'll find out. Because I'll be easing myself in to higher limits while keeping many tables of the lower, it shouldn't be a major financial risk either. I guess the real risk is to my ego. At the very least, I'm pretty sure I can beat 200NL, and I need to man up and play more of it, even if the games aren't as fishy as 100NL (they definitely aren't).

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